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Market analysis and trade recommendations by FBS

EUR/USD Daily analyics
14:28 03.04.2018

1522765586-3bdf4d7635f13e1c2bdf5300ddb797e4_1200x1200_q90v3.png


The 34 & 55 Moving Averages acted as resistance, so there's a bearish 'Shooting Star' pattern. Also, there's a bearish 'Three Methods', so the market is likely going to continue falling down in the short term.

1522765586-b8f4cb152b28cb2e66f2364fce07ed2b_1200x1200_q90v3.png


There's a 'Shooting Star' pattern, which has been formed on the 144 Moving Average. In this case, we should keep an eye on the lower 'Window' as a possible intraday target

More:
https://tinyurl.com/ycup577d
 
USD/JPY Daily Analytics
14:33 03.04.2018

1522765586-889f4ae31695b6b79e538f87723c2d61_1200x1200_q90v3.png


We've got a bullish 'Hammer', which has been confirmed. Also, there's no any reversal pattern so far, which means the price is going to continue rising in the direction of the 144 Moving Average.

1522765585-6bc6f54aef201ba7b600af734e3908e8_1200x1200_q90v3.png


The last bullish 'Harami' led to the current upward price movement. Meanwhile, if a pullback from the nearest resistance happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have a local correction.

More:
https://tinyurl.com/ycup577d
 
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US Factory Growth Hit Lower in March


The factory activity in the United States had slowed down for the month of March alongside the downturn in new orders. While growth in manufacturing industry continued to be supported by strong global and domestic economies. Further data showed on Monday the marginal increase in construction expenditure for February. The figures coincided with the economists’ forecast that the economic growth will slacken in January to March. Economic growth in the first quarter of 2018 appears to be weak due to seasonal quirk.


According to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), the national factory activity index declined to 59.3 in the previous month versus 60.8 in February. If the reading in the ISM index is above 50, it indicates expansion in manufacturing which accounts more or less than 12 percent of the American economy. While the survey's production sub-index drop to 1.0 point from the reading of 61.0 last month. The estimate of new orders fell to 61.9 in March against 64.2 in February. The gauge of factory labor reduced by 2.4 points to 57.3 in the previous month.


There are 17 sectors that reported growth in March, which involves computer and electronic products, fabricated metal products and machinery and chemical products. On the other hand, the Apparel, leather and allied items showed a downswing. Machinery manufacturers told that imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports led to panic buying, pushing short-term costs higher, and further caused scarcity for non-contractual clients. The tariffs set by US President Donald Trump is intended to protect domestic industries from the so-called unfair competition against other countries.


The report slightly influenced US financial markets. As shown in a separate report, construction spending gained 0.1 percent in February following a steady stance in January. The Reuters poll indicates that economist projected that construction spending grew by 0.5 percent in February and expected to increase by 3.0 percent on an annual basis. February’s marginal increase in construction spending presents a growth estimate for the GDP in Q1, which is predicted to be lower than the 2 percent annualized rate.


The costs on private construction projects were up by 0.7 percent on the back of its 0.7 percent decline in January. While nonresidential structures expenditures had rebounded by 1.5 percent in February after it plummeted to 1.7 percent in the past month.
 
AUD/USD Daily Analytics
06:25 04.04.2018

Technical levels: support – 0.7610, 0.7690; resistance – 0.7730

Trade recommendations:

Sell — 0.7730; SL — 0.7750; TP1 — 0.7610; TP2 — 0.7580.
Sell — 0.7680; SL — 0.7710; TP1 — 0.7610; TP2 — 0.7580.
Reason: narrowing bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a cancelled golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are had entered into the cloudy area.

1522823136-42a68b4bfa2f0515dfbaa054e9dbae66_1200x1200_q90v3.png


More:
https://tinyurl.com/y7nc9hs3
 
USD/JPY Daily Analytics
06:27 04.04.2018
Technical levels: support – 106.30; resistance – 106.70, 107.30.

Trade recommendations:

Sell — 107.30; SL — 107.50; TP1 — 106.30; TP2 — 106.00.
Reason: narrow bullish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A; a cancelled dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the market had returned into the positive area, but there is a strong resistance on 107.30.

1522823136-3dcc4d3b0e9d38341d309e86e7227f36_1200x1200_q90v3.png


More:
https://tinyurl.com/y95syw4k
 
USD/CAD Daily Analytics
06:54 04.04.2018
Recommendation:

SELL 1.2770

SL 1.2825

TP1 1.2690 TP2 1.2570

On the daily chart of USD/CAD, after a short consolidation in the 1.2810-1.2950 range bulls manage to pull the pair above its lower border and trigger the “Shark” pattern with a target at 88.6%. The necessary condition for the further decline is the fall below support at 1.2685-1.2715.

1522824828-1430b06b52ccdf0a9e951da31344610e_1200x1200_q90v3.png


On H1, a break of support at 1.2815 with its following retest triggered the “Spike and ledge”, “Shark” and AB=CD. The targets of the last two at 113% and 224% are at 1.2570 and 1.2690.

1522824847-5c726ce87bf89e31cdcfbd4c37b26a4a_1200x1200_q90v3.png


More:
https://tinyurl.com/y7547xvd
 
GBP/USD Daily Analytics
09:22 04.04.2018
Recommendations:

BUY 1.4195

SL 1.414

TP1 1.4295 TP2 1.443 TP3 1.4515

On the daily chart of GBP/USD, a correction within the “Shark” pattern’s transformation to 5-0 ended at the level of 38.2% from the CD wave. To resume the uptrend bulls should break the resistance at 1.4122. As a result, odds of 113% and 127.2% targets of “Shark” and “AB=CD” patterns will increase.

1522833623-3f1b6eaed077eeb7308bccf1a5b10b69_1200x1200_q90v3.png


On H1, after the pair reached the first target of the “Wolfe waves” pattern a natural pullback happened. To continue the rally, bulls should break the resistance at 1.4195.

1522833640-eaec8f61edb51b022cc992c13c279816_1200x1200_q90v3.png


More:
https://tinyurl.com/yd6xlxrw
 
XAU/USD Daily Analytics
09:25 04.04.2018
Recommendations:

BUY 1345

SL 1330

TP1 1374 TP2 1394

On the daily chart of XAU/USD, bears are trying to form the “Shakeout-Fakeout” pattern as the pair could not break the upper boundary of 1302-1340 consolidation. To implement it the pair has to break the support at 1321. Vice versa, the hit of resistances at 1340 and 1345 will let bulls to hope on the continuation of the rally to 113% and 127.2% targets of “Shark” and “AB=CD” patterns.

1522833827-645800f66cec2264dcf59cce4c9ff5cc_1200x1200_q90v3.png


On H1, the implementation of the “Butterfly” pattern will increase risks of the sharp decline. To resume the uptrend bulls should break the resistance at 1345.

1522833844-ee5460ddb0ab759758a13cd2952ea838_1200x1200_q90v3.png


More:
https://tinyurl.com/y9h5vfca
 
EUR/USD Daily Analytics
11:34 04.04.2018

1522841614-330b3b47b24beaf5dcf09de3ee72ce44_1200x1200_q90v3.png


There's a 'Double Bottom' pattern, but the price remains under the Moving Averages. The main intraday target is the nearest resistance at 1.2335 - 1.2344, which could be a departure point for another decline.

1522841614-a91a28bc0e176750317a8674cc9defa6_1200x1200_q90v3.png


The 55 Moving Average acted as resistance, so there's a 'Thorn' pattern. In this case, the pair is likely going to test the closest support at 1.2272 - 1.2253. If we have a pullback from this area, there'll be a moment for an upward price movement.

More:
https://tinyurl.com/y8hyfcom
 
GBP/USD Daily Analytics
11:36 04.04.2018

1522841615-e9fe48fa72fe0cedca4435d2686ca055_1200x1200_q90v3.png


The main trend is still bullish, but the market is consolidating along the Moving Averages. It's likely that the pair is going to test the next resistance at 1.4144. However, if a pullback from this level happens little later on, there'll be a moment for a decline towards the 89 Moving Average.

1522841614-53e2f1937dcd7547a12a0eac193a233e_1200x1200_q90v3.png


The price is consolidating between the levels 1.3982 - 1.4095. The main intraday target is the closest support at 1.4049 - 1.4027, which could be a starting point for a bullish price movement in the direction of the next resistance at 1.4133 - 1.4144

More:
https://tinyurl.com/ybbqq799
 
USD/JPY Daily Analytics
12:41 04.04.2018

1522845342-b4622545232596ec153cb2a82361e0c6_1200x1200_q90v3.png


There's a bearish 'Tower' pattern, which has been confirmed. Therefore, the market is likely going to test the nearest support once again. A pullback from this area could be a starting point for an upward price movement.

1522845342-6b1e7cff5bee1ffa470ae99b8bb4fd5a_1200x1200_q90v3.png


We've got a bearish 'Engulfing' and 'Harami' patterns, so the pair is declining. It's likely that the price is going to reach the next support area in the coming hours.

More:
https://tinyurl.com/ya337euw
 
EUR/JPY Daily Analytics
06:38 05.04.2018

Recommendation:

BUY 131.80

SL 131.25

TP1 132.80 TP2 133.20 TP3 136.70

On H1, EUR/JPY is consolidating in the 129.15-132.15 range within the “Spike and ledge” pattern. A break of its upper border will increase the risks of a “Shark” pattern with a target at 88.6%. It corresponds to 136.7.

1522910196-8afba167b3e7c15d0d5d28d0f3c7b966_1200x1200_q90v3.png


On H1 of EUR/JPY, the inability of bears to return the pair inside the downtrend channel points at their weakness. A successful test of resistance at 131.8 will open the way up to targets of “Wolfe waves” and “Shark”.

1522910225-144c086f9efd0dd7367f2818eb875c0e_1200x1200_q90v3.png


More:
https://tinyurl.com/ybqz8r45
 
EUR/USD Daily Analytics
07:35 05.04.2018
Technical levels: support – 1.2150, 1.2250; resistance – 1.2300.

Trade recommendations:

Sell — 1.2240; SL — 1.2260; TP1 — 1.2180; TP2 — 1.2150
Reason: expanding bearish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A; a new dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with the falling Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the market returned to 3-W lows again.

1522913732-5974574d0f06c411e972e24d898d2405_1200x1200_q90v3.png


More:
https://tinyurl.com/yaent5uk
 
GBP/USD Daily Analytics
07:37 05.04.2018
Technical levels: support – 1.4040/50; resistance – 1.4140.

Trade recommendations:

Buy — 1.4060; SL — 1.4040; TP1 — 1.4140; TP2 — 1.4170.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a weak golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with horizontal lines; the prices are on the support of Kijun-sen.

1522913732-5838ef800660551113de2aff99712827_1200x1200_q90v3.png


More:
https://tinyurl.com/yavxxubh
 
USD/CHF Daily Analytics
07:45 05.04.2018
Recommendations:

BUY 0.958

SL 0.9525

TP1 0.968 TP2 0.974 TP3 0.979

On the daily chart of USD/CHF, bulls managed to push the pair out of the long-term downtrend channel and implement the “AB=CD” pattern with the 224% target. To continue the rally, the pair should break the resistance at 0.9811.

1522914214-6b52b379cf89098e044bb0561035d536_1200x1200_q90v3.png


On H1, the “Spike and reversal with acceleration” pattern is implemented. The bullish trend will continue until the pair falls below the bottom boundary of the uptrend. Pullbacks to supports at 0.958 and 0.9555 may be used for long positions.

1522914248-783bc402d818169e316cb78972100d42_1200x1200_q90v3.png


More:
https://tinyurl.com/ya5x4qac
 
USD/JPY Daily Analytics
07:48 05.04.2018
Recommendations:

BUY 107.00

SL 106.45

TP1 107.85 TP2 108

On the daily chart of USD/JPY, after the pair reached the 127.2% target of the “AB=CD” pattern there is a correction to the downtrend. Bulls are trying to implement the “Wolfe waves” pattern and push the pair at least to the resistance at 108 (23.8% from the long-term bearish wave).

1522914346-8761742235b0db83894df8a74aef706f_1200x1200_q90v3.png


On H1, if the pair hits the resistance at 107, the “AB=CD” pattern with the 161.8% target will be implemented and odds of the rise to targets of “Shark” (113%) and “Wolfe waves” patterns will increase.

1522914337-8f44fbef1fb214ece181328acc09629a_1200x1200_q90v3.png


More:
https://tinyurl.com/y7rxwz96
 
EUR/USD Daily Analytics
10:09 05.04.2018

1522922513-d62182f78653946e90fcb3c5c1e756af_1200x1200_q90v3.png


Bears faced with support at 1.2250, so the pair is consolidating. The main intraday target is the next support at 1.2239, which could be a departure point for another upward price movement towards the nearest resistance at 1.2285 - 1.2335.

1522922513-24e8030dd7c86972c678888bed6efbbe_1200x1200_q90v3.png


There's a 'V-Bottom', so the market is likely going to reach the 55 Moving Average. However, if this line acts as resistance, bears will probably try to test the closest support at 1.2233.

More:
https://tinyurl.com/ydcmgthm
 
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