Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

[Vlad RF]

DE 40 forecast: the index continues to trade within a sideways trend

The upward trend in the DE 40 stock index has shifted into a sideways movement, although the tendency towards growth remains intact. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive.

DE 40 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: Germany’s GDP for Q1 2026 increased by 0.3%
• Market impact: the data creates a positive backdrop for the German equity market

Fundamental analysis

Germany’s GDP growth of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, in line with forecasts of 0.3% and above the previous reading of 0.2%, represents a moderately positive signal for the DE 40 index. The fact that the figure matched expectations means the market is unlikely to receive a strong surprise-driven impulse.

For the German equity market, such statistics appear generally favourable, although the effect will likely remain restrained. Since the actual figure matched forecasts, a significant portion of positive expectations may already have been priced in.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 500 forecast: the index hits new all-time high

The US 500 index surged to a record high following news of a possible end to the conflict between the US and Iran. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: the preliminary US manufacturing PMI came in at 55.3 in May
• Market impact: this data has a moderately positive impact on the stock market

Fundamental analysis

The US manufacturing PMI reading of 55.3 points, above the forecast of 53.8 and the previous reading of 54.5, indicates a more robust expansion of business activity in the industrial sector. For the US 500 index, this news may generally prove moderately positive, as it confirms the resilience of the US economy and shows that the corporate sector continues to maintain demand, production orders, and business activity.

For the broad US equity market, the effect may prove mixed, but with a positive bias. On the one hand, a strong PMI supports demand for equities, especially in cyclical sectors, as investors see signs of healthy economic momentum.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 30 index forecast: the index reaches a new all-time high

The US 30 index hit a new all-time high and then began to correct. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: preliminary US manufacturing PMI came in at 55.3 in May
• Market impact: the data is positive for the stock market

Fundamental analysis

The US manufacturing PMI was significantly better than expected, coming in at 55.3, above the forecast of 53.8 and the previous reading of 54.5. This indicates an acceleration in business activity in the industry and confirms that the US manufacturing sector remains in an expansion phase, since readings above 50.0 are typically interpreted as growth.

This data could be supportive for the US 30 index, as large industrial, financial, consumer, and infrastructure companies account for a significant proportion of its composition.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

XAUUSD is losing ground: US inflation and the Middle East are weighing on the gold market

Gold continues to fall, approaching the March lows amid geopolitical tensions. Prices currently stand at 4,372 USD.

Gold forecast: key takeaways

• Core PCE price index: previously at 3.2%, projected at 3.3%
• The market has shifted its focus to the Fed's rate review
• XAUUSD forecast for 28 May 2026: 4,320

Fundamental analysis

The XAUUSD price forecast for today, 28 May 2026, shows that gold continues its downward trajectory this week, testing the March lows. At this stage, XAUUSD quotes have broken below the psychological 4,400 USD level and are trading around 4,372 USD per ounce.

The decline is primarily driven by the renewed geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, which, contrary to the logic of traditional safe-haven markets, is putting pressure on gold.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

AUDUSD on the verge of elevated volatility as the market awaits the US and Iran decision

The AUDUSD rate has once again found itself at the mercy of geopolitical developments and Australian statistics. The AUDUSD pair is testing the 0.7150 level.

AUDUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The pair is balancing between positive geopolitical developments and negative domestic statistics
• Falling oil prices have a positive effect on the AUD
• AUDUSD forecast for 29 May 2026: 0.7125 and 0.7210

Fundamental analysis

Today’s AUDUSD forecast shows that the pair is forming a correction, balancing between positive geopolitical developments and negative domestic statistics. On Friday morning, quotes are testing the 0.7150 mark.

Falling oil prices are adding to the positive outlook for the AUD, but investors remain sceptical. If Washington and Tehran fail to agree on an extension of the ceasefire, the USD could strengthen sharply.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

DE 40 forecast: the index continues trading in a sideways trend

The DE 40 stock index’s uptrend has shifted into a sideways range, although the upward bias remains. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive.

DE 40 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: Germany’s Unemployment Rate (preliminary) for May came in at 6.3%
• Market impact: the data creates a positive backdrop for the German stock market

Fundamental analysis

Germany’s unemployment rate declining to 6.3% versus both the forecast and the prior reading of 6.4% may have a moderately positive impact on the DE 40 index. For the market, this signals that the German labor market is holding up better than expected despite pressure from high interest rates, a weak industrial cycle, and business caution around new investments.

For the DE 40 index, this news could provide some support—especially if investors interpret it as confirmation that the German economy is stabilizing. However, the effect will most likely be limited because the unemployment rate alone does not fully change the broader picture.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 500 forecast: the index hits a new all-time high

News about a possible end to the conflict between the US and Iran pushed the US 500 index higher. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US preliminary manufacturing PMI came in at 55.3 in May
• Market impact: this data is moderately positive for the US stock market

Fundamental analysis

The release of quarterly US GDP data, showing actual growth of 1.6% versus the forecast of 2.0%, could be perceived by the market as a moderately negative signal for the US 500 index. The main reason is that the US economy is growing more slowly than expected, which reduces investor confidence in the sustainability of corporate earnings.

For the US 500 index, the effect could be mixed. On the one hand, weaker-than-expected GDP growth indicates an economic slowdown, which typically pressures shares of companies sensitive to the business cycle.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 30 index forecast: growth momentum has weakened, but the uptrend remains

The US 30 index is trading near its all-time high, but the likelihood of a downward correction is increasing. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US GDP rose by 1.6% year-over-year in Q1 2026
• Market impact: the data is negative for the stock market

Fundamental analysis

US quarterly GDP data came in below expectations, showing actual growth of 1.6%, below the forecast of 2.0% but up from the previous 0.5%. For the US 30 index, this is a mixed signal, but in the short term, it is more likely to have a moderately negative effect.

For the US 30 index, which includes major US industrial, financial, consumer, and technology companies, softer GDP could reduce appetite for more cyclical stocks.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Brent may spring an unpleasant surprise

The situation in the Middle East is triggering Brent prices. After rising, quotes are forming a corrective wave and are currently hovering around 96.30 USD.

Brent forecast: key takeaways

• US crude oil inventories fell by 8 million barrels last week
• Inventories at the largest terminal in Cushing declined to minimum operating levels
• Brent forecast for 4 June 2026: 100.50

Fundamental analysis

The Brent forecast for 4 June 2026 shows that, after rising, oil prices are forming a corrective wave, primarily driven by geopolitical de-escalation, which has eased supply concerns. At this stage, Brent quotes are testing the 96.30 USD per barrel mark.

A ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon was announced a day earlier. This breakthrough, mediated by the US, is viewed by the market as an important step towards de-escalating the conflict in the Middle East.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team